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Weekend Box Office Preview
May 14, 2004

WB's 'Troy' muscles into theaters as 'Helsing' faces sophomore downtick

FROM TOPPER TO DROPPER

Universal hopes “Van Helsing’s” second weekend downtick is on par with “Spider-Man’s” – not the precipitous sophomore drops of other May tentpoles.

MAY SECOND-WEEKEND DROPS*

Pic (Year)

 

% Drop

X2 (’03)    53

 

Matrix Reloaded (’03)    50
Mummy Returns (’01)    50
The Mummy (’99)    43
Deep Impact (’98)

 

 43
Spider-Man (’02)

 

 38
 *excludes Memorial Day bows, which experience sharp drops due to the four-day vs. three-day weekend comparison

BOWING
Movie

Title

Engagements
Troy

(WB)

3,411
Breakin’ All the Rules

(Sony/Screen Gems)

1,318
A Day Without a Mexican

(Televisa)

55
Carandiru

(Sony Classics) LA, NY

6
Coffee and Cigarettes

(MGM)

5
A Slipping Down Life

(Lions Gate)

5
With All Deliberate Speed

(Camera Planet/Discovery)

5
American Reunion

(Filmmates)

5
Strayed

(Wellspring) NY

2
After Freedom

(Vitagraph) LA

2
Springtime in a Small Town

(Palm) NY

2
The Last Place on Earth

(Panorama)

1
The 24th Day

(Screen Media) NY

1

YEAR TO DATE
(in billions of $)
2.6

’03

(thru May 11)

2.8

+8%

’04

(thru May 9)

1. Troy

2. Van Helsing

3. Mean Girls

4. Breakin’ All…

5. Man on Fire

AOL Moviefone derives its Top Five Most Requested films from activity on its Web site. The Top Five have historically been 80% accurate in predicting the weekend’s top five movies at the box office.

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RELEASE DATES AND CHANGES
As of May 13
Movie Title
New date

Old date

FOX SEARCHLIGHT

I Heart Huckabees Oct. 15  
Kinsey Nov. 12  
MAGNOLIA

Control Room May 21  
PALM

Last Life in the Universe Aug. 6 Sept. 3
Reconstruction Sept. 10 July 14
UNIVERSAL

Synergy (exclusive bow) Dec. 29  
Synergy (wide bow) Jan. 14  
WELLSPRING

Seducing Doctor Lewis June 25 July 2
Nathalie 1st qtr. ’05 Sept.

Red indicates new entry  

Source: ACNielsen EDI FilmSource

 

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