HFPA kudos better barometer for Emmys

The Golden Globes always tout themselves as a bellwether of the Academy Awards, but they have a mixed track record. Of the 13 Globe winners last year, seven went on to the Oscar winner’s circle; however, the previous year, it was only four of the 13.

In truth, the Globes are better at forecasting Emmys. While the Emmy org had been frequently criticized (until last year’s rule change) for rewarding the tried and true rather than the new and exciting, the Hollywood Foreign Press Assn. is frequently out early in rewarding unconventional choices such as “The Sopranos” and “Party of Five.”

Indeed, the Golden Globes have saluted such series as “The X-Files,” “Ally McBeal,” “The Practice” and “Sex and the City” before the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences did.

But because of the timing, the TV side often gets less attention than film, even though the HFPA divides its awards almost equally: 13 for pics, 11 for the small screen.

Not surprisingly, the noms reflected the wide-open film race this year: 35 films were cited, with 19 of them grabbing one nom. That’s pretty consistent with last year’s free-for-all, when the Globes nominated 36 movies, with 18 getting only one nod.

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